Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.035014 0.040827 0.047226 0.054782 0.063448 0.073066 0.084536
2025-08-10 0.025205 0.032489 0.041260 0.052557 0.066674 0.083681 0.105668
2025-08-17 0.019055 0.026827 0.036949 0.051000 0.069888 0.094273 0.127990
2025-08-24 0.015266 0.023241 0.034368 0.050858 0.074465 0.106793 0.154106
2025-08-31 0.012167 0.019903 0.031396 0.049464 0.076829 0.116316 0.177069
2025-09-07 0.010667 0.018587 0.031022 0.051599 0.084314 0.133680 0.212927
2025-09-14 0.009050 0.016748 0.029483 0.051598 0.088388 0.146253 0.242851
2025-09-21 0.007523 0.014755 0.027332 0.050199 0.089905 0.154835 0.267261
2025-09-28 0.006431 0.013318 0.025866 0.049672 0.092668 0.165523 0.295932
2025-10-05 0.005988 0.013008 0.026332 0.052559 0.101570 0.187198 0.344892
2025-10-12 0.005477 0.012466 0.026268 0.054427 0.108799 0.206618 0.391715
2025-10-19 0.004690 0.011210 0.024629 0.053044 0.109800 0.215028 0.419749
2025-10-26 0.004081 0.010243 0.023459 0.052489 0.112434 0.226896 0.455687
2025-11-02 0.003464 0.009140 0.021835 0.050776 0.112572 0.234101 0.483666
2025-11-09 0.002973 0.008238 0.020498 0.049470 0.113350 0.242566 0.514816
2025-11-16 0.002641 0.007657 0.019791 0.049431 0.116748 0.256480 0.557879
2025-11-23 0.002277 0.006922 0.018602 0.048120 0.117211 0.264436 0.589622
2025-11-30 0.002148 0.006792 0.018857 0.050225 0.125506 0.289433 0.658653
2025-12-07 0.001926 0.006358 0.018281 0.050235 0.129000 0.304510 0.708095
2025-12-14 0.001672 0.005772 0.017217 0.048876 0.129107 0.312193 0.742291
2025-12-21 0.001485 0.005351 0.016524 0.048364 0.131176 0.324399 0.787416
2025-12-28 0.001441 0.005375 0.017065 0.051183 0.141773 0.356910 0.880620
2026-01-04 0.001364 0.005273 0.017231 0.053006 0.150052 0.384760 0.965444